Jan
2016
22

NFC Championship Game Update

I was remiss in not updating the NFC Championship game. It is a very similar market to the Patriots/Broncos game, but the Panthers aren’t getting nearly the level of action the Patriots are. 69% of spread, 59% of moneyline and 63% of combination bets are on Carolina. This has me less excited about the Cardinals pick than the Broncos. Also some bookies are requiring extra juice when you lay the field goal, indicating there isn’t as much Arizona action offsetting the public bets on the Panthers. The Cardinals pick may be harder to justify than the Broncos as well. I was able to write a full paragraph with recent trends, a blueprint for winning, home-field advantage and the Ed Hochuli factor on why Denver can win. This is a rematch of a playoff game last year, a Wild Card round game in Carolina. The Cardinals competed in that game and actually led at halftime even though they were quarterbacked by Ryan Lindley, who may be the worst QB to ever start and NFL playoff game. The Cardinals had just 8 first downs and lost the yardage battle 386-78. Arizona’s quarterback Carson Palmer who finally broke through for his first NFL playoff victory last week will play better than Lindley. Palmer will have to be better than he was last week for the Cardinals to have any chance of winning. I have had this feeling that the Panthers would fall short of the Super Bowl all season.

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