Jan
2016
19

Quick NFL Playoff Update

It was a very entertaining weekend of games even with the very predictable results. All of the home teams were victorious and they all won by a 6 or 7-point margin. The New England Patriots won by 7 (as 6-point favorites), the Arizona Cardinals won by 6 (as 7-point favorites), the Carolina Panthers won by 7 (as 2.5-point favorites) and the Denver Broncos won by 7 (as 7-point favorites). The picks were ok going 3-1 though I gave myself a favorable line with +7.5 with the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Looking ahead to Championship Sunday if you know my philosophy on handicapping you know which direction I am going in both games. Both of the favorites the Patriots and Panthers are laying a field goal and both have the vast majority of the public action as you would expect. I will be taking the underdogs. I was surprised that the Pats weren’t favored by 3.5/4-points with even the possibility of it moving out further. New England looks healthy and the Broncos looked very ordinary in beating the short-handed Steelers. In what most likely will be the last Manning-Brady Bowl, Tom Brady has the clear advantage as Peyton’s body is falling apart. With the spread just 3-points 78% of spread, 73% of moneyline and 71% of parlay and teaser bets are on the defending Super Bowl Champions. The Panthers coming off an impressive win in which they led the Seattle Seahawks 31-0 at the half. The Cardinals showed more vulnerability especially at the quarterback position where Carson Palmer won his first career playoff game, but was very shaky in the process. Carolina is receiving 71% of spread and 60% of moneyline and combination bets.

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