Brian Steinhause Archives

Sep
2014
23

Fantasy Stock Watch Week 4 by Brian Steinhause

STOCK WATCH- WEEK 4

Each week, I’ll take a look at how some players stock either rose or fell, taking into account their weekly performance, along with other factors such as upcoming schedule and expected role going forward. The players are broken down into three categories, 1) Blue Chips, or the top, upper echelon players (generally an early round draft pick), 2) Mid-Caps, or your level of player not quite at the top of the list, but is still universally owned, and 3) Penny Stocks, or late round draft picks or players that may be available on your waiver wire.

Stock up: Blue Chips

Julio Jones, WR (ATL)-A monstrous 9-161-2 line vaulted Jones to the top of the heap in receiving yards for the season. Jones has all the potential for a top overall WR season if he can avoid the injury bug.

DeMarco Murray, RB (DAL)-Your NFL rushing leader, Murray has now hit 100 yards in all three games this season. His fumbling is a bit of a concern, but by no means is his job close to being in jeopardy. He has also hit pay dirt each game so far. Would be a top 5 pick if draft was held today.

Antonio Brown, WR (PIT)-Brown’s 10 catch, 90 yard, 2 TD performance made him the #2 WR this week (in most scoring formats). He has now secured at least 5 catches in 19 straight games, tying Laveranues Coles for second best all time (Jimmy Smith-21 straight).

ALSO CONSIDERED: Andrew Luck, QB (IND), Le’Veon Bell, RB (PIT), Dez Bryant, WR (DAL)

Stock up: Mid-Caps

Rashad Jennings, RB (NYG)-Hopefully Jennings won’t be too sore for a Thursday night game this week after his workmanlike 34 carry, 176 yard effort vs. the Texans on Sunday. He also added his second TD of the season. Jennings has vaulted himself into RB1 territory, being one of the few who look like an every down back and gets the goal line carries so far.

Jeremy Maclin, WR (PHI)-Maclin has no scored a TD in all three of Philly’s games so far. His 154 receiving yards this past week represents the third highest mark of his career. The #1 WR in Chip Kelly’s up tempo offense, Maclin has seen double digit targets every week. Yes, it has helped him that the Eagles have fallen behind in each game, but Maclin looks like a safe play every week as a WR1 or 2

Emmanuel Sanders, WR (DEN)-After going 4 plus seasons of never having a 100 yard receiving game, Sanders has now done it in back to back weeks. He had the first double digit catch game of his career in Seattle Sunday with 11 grabs. The return of Wes Welker should diminish Sanders’s role somewhat, but he seems to have a good thing going with Peyton Manning.

ALSO CONSIDERED: Michael Crabtree, WR (SF), Julian Edelman, WR (NE), Knile Davis, RB (KC)

Stock up: Penny Stocks

Kirk Cousins, QB (WAS)-Making his first start of the season in place of RGIII, Cousins certainly didn’t disappoint, throwing for 427 yards and 3 TD’s. It was a juicy matchup against the Philly D, and Cousins will continue to be worth looking at as a fantasy starter if the matchup is right. I don’t love the matchup this week with an improving Giant secondary.

Jordan Matthews, WR (PHI)-The kind of breakout game his fans have looked for came in week 3, as the 2nd round draft pick grabbed 2 TD’s among his 8 total catches. Matthews has a very solid future ahead of him, but is still too risky a play to be in your lineup most weeks.

Donald Brown, RB (SD)- Brown is far from flashy but what he should give you the next month or so is volume. With Ryan Mathews out around another 4 weeks and Danny Woodhead now shelved for the year, Brown comes in to play as a legitimate flex play each week. A matchup with the Jags this week even gives Brown RB2 appeal.

ALSO CONSIDERED: Jeremy Kerley, WR (NYJ), Lorenzo Taliaferro, RB (BAL), Allen Robinson, WR (JAC), Bishop Sankey, RB (TEN)

Stock down: Blue Chips

Eddie Lacy, RB (GB)-36 carries for 113 yards with no touchdowns thru three games isn’t what owners who spent a first round pick on Lacy were counting on when they drafted him. Is Lacy joining the ranks of Mark Ingram and Trent Richardson as overrated Alabama backs, or is an opening 3 game schedule against 3 staunch run defenses (SEA, NYJ, DET) more to blame. Week four presents a golden opportunity for Lacy as the Pack take on a very penetrable Bears defense.

Keenan Allen, WR (SD)-Allen has had built in excuses all season long so far to explain his miserable start. Weeks one and two were spent against Patrick Peterson and Richard Sherman, and week three saw Allen dealing with a groin injury towards the end of the week that left his status in question. (He did suit up, barely though- 2 catches for 17 yards). Allen looks like a prototypical buy low candidate to me. He is still the main threat in the Charger passing attack.

Montee Ball, RB (DEN)-Ball might as well join the party of 1st round RB’s who have been awful so far (sans Demarco Murray and Gio Bernard). A trip to Seattle is not what the doctor ordered for Ball and 14 carries for 38 yards later, the shine lacks more luster. I still feel Ball gets the job done in Denver. This week’s bye should help.

ALSO CONSIDERED: Demaryius Thomas, WR (DEN), LeSean McCoy, RB (PHI), Matt Forte, RB (CHI)

Stock Down: Mid-Caps

Vincent Jackson, WR (TB)-10 catches for 102 yards and a TD is not a bad line at all for V-Jax. Too bad those are his three game totals for the season. Jackson also suffered a small wrist fracture in Atlanta last Thursday. That shouldn’t hinder him too much apparently. Maybe the switch to Mike Glennon at QB lights something under Jackson.

Cordarrelle Patterson, WR (MIN)-There is no denying that C-Patt is one of the most exciting players in the league when he gets the ball in his hands. Therein lies the problem, Patterson is just not seeing the touches. He has just eleven receptions and four rushes thru four games. With Adrian Peterson out for an indefinite length of time, look for offensive coordinate Norv Turner to try and get Patterson more involved in the offense now under the control of Teddy Bridgewater.

Torrey Smith, WR (BAL)-Preseason expectations were pretty high for Smith, looking to play a big role in new OC Gary Kubiak’s system. Smith has had a huge start to the season. Unfortunately for Torrey owners though, it is Steve that is the Smith who is thriving so far (18 catches for Steve, 6 for Torrey). Tough test again this week against Carolina should have Torrey on your bench. Hopefully he gets it going vs. Indy the following week.

ALSO CONSIDERED: Marques Colston, WR (NO), Joique Bell, RB (DET), Toby Gerhart, RB (JAX)

Stock down: Penny Stocks

Chris Johnson, RB (NYJ)-Johnson is entrenched in a time share with Chris Ivory (35 carries thru 3 games for CJ?K, 33 for Ivory). And Ivory just looks like the better runner. He breaks tackles, Johnson does not, relying more on making people miss, which he just doesn’t do too well anymore. Against a good Detroit run D, have other options at your dispense rather than Johnson.

Charles Clay, TE (MIA)-After a surprising 2013 season saw Clay grab 69 passes and 6 TD’s, the converted fullback has yet to find the end zone this season. He looks a bit lost in new OC Bill Lazor’s offense. Clay was a borderline TE1, definitely a TE2 entering the season. For now, if there are better options out there, he is droppable.

Carolina Running Game- Already without starting RB DeAngelo Williams, Sunday night saw Carolina rush the ball just 8 times thru their RB’s. They then lost both of those running backs, Jonathon Stewart for around four weeks, and Mike Tolbert for possibly the season. Williams is questionable for week 4, as is next in line Fozzy Whitaker. Is Tim Biakabutuka available??

ALSO CONSIDERED: Ryan Tannehill, QB (MIA), Riley Cooper, WR (PHI)

That’s all for this week. Good luck in week 4. Any questions feel free to comment or hit me up on twitter at @bsteinhause

Sep
2014
10

Fantasy Stock Watch Week 2 by Brian Steinhause

I am extremely excited to have the first contributor to the Thechiefsports.com. Brian Steinhause. I have personally been dominated by him over the past 20 years in Fantasy Football, so I give him the highest recommendation. I hope you enjoy. Follow Brian on Twitter @bsteinhause

Each week, I’ll take a look at how some players stock either rose or fell, taking into account their weekly performance, along with other factors such as upcoming schedule and expected role going forward. The players are broken down into three categories, 1) Blue Chips, or the top, upper echelon players (generally an early round draft pick), 2) Mid-Caps, or your level of player not quite at the top of the list, but is still universally owned, and 3) Penny Stocks, or late round draft picks or players that may be available on your waiver wire.

Stock up: Blue Chips

Marshawn Lynch, RB (SEA) – The writing off of Beastmode may have come premature. Falling down many draft lists this summer, Lynch responded with 110 yards on 20 carries in Seattle’s opening night win. A pure workhorse back on a team that should be ahead in plenty of games, Lynch should hold 1st round value once again.
Le’Veon Bell, RB (PIT) – Bell was generally an early 2nd round draft selection before a DUI arrest in late August. That, and fear of somewhat of a time share with LeGarrette Blount, sent Bell spiraling into the 3rd round in many drafts. Well, there was no timeshare in week one as Bell saw 56 snaps compared to just 6 for Blount. His final totals of 109 rushing yards and a TD, plus 88 receiving yards on 6 catches made Bell this week’s #1 fantasy RB. Blount could vulture a TD here and there but Bell looks like the man here.
Calvin Johnson, WR (DET) – There are many pundits out there calling for Johnson to be overtaken as the #1 WR in fantasy football. Well, Megatron had something to say about that Monday night, going for 164 yards on 7 catches with 2 TD’s. Keep him on the top of your WR list. (As I did NOT do in a few drafts)
ALSO CONSIDERED: Giovani Bernard, RB (CIN), Julius Thomas, TE (DEN)

Stock up: Mid-Caps

Matt Ryan, QB (ATL) – Matty Ice was phenomenal on Sunday, throwing for three touchdowns and career high 448 yards. No, the Falcons won’t be playing 37-34 games every week, but with a porous defense and a healthy Julio Jones, you can expect some fireworks each week from Ryan.
Knowshon Moreno, RB (MIA) – The Dolphins backfield situation was one of the murkier ones in the preseason as Moreno battled his way back from offseason knee surgery. Well, after one week, Moreno is your NFL rushing leader after plodding for 134 yards on 24 carries with a TD. Fellow RB Lamar Miller saw 11 carries, but was more of use in the passing game. Still a situation to watch going forward but Moreno clearly looked like the lead back week one.
Percy Harvin, WR (SEA) – I’ll be the first to tell you that I am not a Harvin guy; I have him on zero teams this year. But watching Thursday night, he looks prime for a big season. Seattle was finding ways to get him the ball, as he rushed 4 times for 41 yards and caught all 7 of his targets for 59 yards. Health is always the biggest concern with Harvin so ride him while he is in there.
ALSO CONSIDERED: Mike Wallace, WR (MIA), Rashad Jennings, RB (NYG), Brandin Cooks, WR (NO), Greg Olsen, TE (CAR)

Stock up: Penny Stocks

Kelvin Benjamin, WR (CAR) – Carolina’s first round pick this past May certainly made his presence felt in his first regular season game. Working with backup QB Derek Anderson, Benjamin secured 6 catches for 92 yards with a spectacular TD catch thrown in. Sitting atop the Panthers depth chart, things should continue to shine for the former Seminole once Cam Newton gets back under center.
Allen Hurns, WR (JAC) – Another rookie WR, this time it’s the undrafted Hurns, who got the start with Cecil Shorts out. He shocked the fantasy world with 4 catches for 110 yards and 2 TD’s vs. Philly week one. It would be surprising to see this kind of production continue, but Hurns will be a hot pickup this week and is worthy of a roster spot.
Justin Forsett, RB (BAL) – After Bernard Pierce fumbled early on, Forsett became the primary ball carrier for Baltimore vs. Cincy on Sunday, amassing 11 carries. He totaled 70 yards and scored once, while also grabbing 5 passes. With the Ray Rice news and subsequent release this week, Forsett stands to see more playing time going forward. He will be a popular add this week but beware. He’s been a backup/journeyman for seven years for a reason.
ALSO CONSIDERED: Jake Locker, QB (TEN), Geno Smith, QB (NYJ), Mark Ingram, RB (NO)

Stock down: Blue Chips

Jamaal Charles, RB (KC)- Something is just wrong when the arguably MVP of fantasy football 2013 gets just eleven touches in his teams opener, yet that’s what happened to top 3 pick Jamaal Charles Sunday. An offseason overhaul of the offensive line was a concern going into the season, now it’s a reality. A trip to Denver isn’t really what the doctor ordered for a bounce back from Charles, but he could see a decent game in PPR leagues with plenty of receptions out of the backfield.
Larry Fitzgerald, WR (ARI) – 2014 could be the changing of the guard at the WR position in the desert. If week one is any indication, it certainly seems the case as Michael Floyd (5-119, 7 targets) seemed to be Carson Palmer’s primary WR as opposed to Fitz (1-22, 4 targets). Fitzgerald will still get his numbers in Arizona’s pass happy offense.
Victor Cruz, WR (NYG)- I had Cruz teetering between Blue Chip and Mid Cap, but as a (embarrassed) Giants fan I expect a lot out Cruz. To be polite, the Giants offense stunk Monday night in Detroit. Cruz grabbed just two passes for 24 yards and had a few drops. He seemed to be frustrated with the offense. The Giants need Cruz to be productive to have any chance this year. One would think they’ll try to get him the ball more this week vs. Arizona.

Stock Down: Mid-Caps

Zac Stacy, RB (STL)- News broke late last week that the Rams were going to go with the “hot hand” weekly at running back, striking fear into Stacy owners. Some fears were realized Sunday when Stacy only had 11 carries (for 43 yards) and one catch. The Rams were trailing big in the 2nd half so they had to abandon any semblance of a running game. Hopefully Stacy garners a bigger role this week at Tampa Bay.
Frank Gore, RB (SF) – Gore went as a late RB2/early RB3 in most drafts. The problem was this past week was a dream matchup against the (insert bad adjective here) Dallas defense. What he delivered was not what was expected, just 66 yards on 16 carries with no catches. Rookie Carlos Hyde even stole a TD run from him. Gore gets another great matchup this Sunday against a Bears D that was far and away worst in the league last season and just let up 193 rushing yards to the Bills.
Tony Romo, QB (DAL) – No sugar coating it, Romo was just bad Sunday against San Fran. He threw three horrible interceptions and was just forcing the ball into places there wasn’t space. Romo has potential for big numbers this year on a Dallas time that is going to need to score to keep pace with their defense. I’d like to say chalk this one up to rust due to his offseason back surgery.
ALSO CONSIDERED: Robert Griffin III, QB (WAS), Stevan Ridley, RB (NE)

Stock down: Penny Stocks

Trent Richardson, RB (IND) – Ah, what would a stock watch be without good ole T-Poor not making an appearance. Technically, he could be in the Mid Cap section, as he was a mid-round pick in most drafts, but I can’t bring myself to do that. Your typical 6 carries for 20 yards line out of Richardson, although the 3.3 YPC is pretty good for him. Gets Philly this coming Monday, maybe there’s a chance he does something? Don’t hold your breath.
Sammy Watkins, WR (BUF) – It was a great day for rookie WR, but not the highest pick of them all. Buffalo seemed more than content running the ball and Watkins saw just four balls thrown his way (3 catches for 31 yards). The talented rookie should see some better days ahead, but for now should be on your bench.
Eli Manning, QB (NYG) – Inheriting a new system, Manning and the first team offense continued their preseason struggles into the regular season. After leading the lead in picks last season, Manning tossed two more Monday night. The offensive line must get better for Manning to have any chance at all this season. Questionable if he is rosterable in fantasy right now.

That’s all for this week. Good luck in week 2. Any questions feel free to comment or hit me up on twitter at @bsteinhause