I’m going to stay away from the first two races of the day, allowance races that are difficult to handicap. The next two races are low level stakes races. I am going to give you a couple of tips I got from Bruno De Julio at Grade 1 Racing that seem promising. The 5 Glenwood Canyon (5-1 ML) in the 3rd race and the 10 Fast Bullet (5-1 ML) in the 4th race. I think both of these horse’s odds will come in, but still would be good bets at 4-1 or 7/2 (especially Fast Bullet). Now on the Breeders’ Cup races on Friday, Ladies’ Day:
Race 5 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Sprint Not truly Ladies’ Day as it is mostly colts (5 Shumoos is a filly, 7 Holdin Bullets a gelding) in this one with a clear cut favorite and probably the biggest favorite of the entire Breeders’ Cup in 6 Secret Circle (6-5 ML). I along with most everyone else likes this horse to dominate in this one and quite possibly get stretched out and be a Kentucky Derby contender next year. Secret Circle is a legit single in exotics. 9 Vexor (5-1 ML) is my place horse here with 8 Jake Mo (20-1 ML) a good play in exotics.
6-9-8
Race 6 Juvenile Fillies Turf Large deep field in this one with many possible contenders. I’m going to with 4 Stopshoppingmaria (8-1 ML), love the connections here with jockey Javier Castellano, trainer Todd Pletcher and owner Mike Repole. This horse’s name is in reference to Mike Repole’s wife Maria who has a propensity for shopping. The horse also has solid form. Another filly I like here is 12 Dear Lavinia (30-1 ML), with Christophe Lemaire in the irons, fresh off his Melbourne Cup victory. This horse is already valued at $21 on Betfair, could be a nice opportunity for US on-track pool players. Of the shorter priced horses in the field I like 14 Somali Lemonade (3-1 ML).
4-12-14
Race 7 Filly and Mare Sprint I am going to hope the big favorite here gets beaten and go with the 2nd choice and 6 Switch (3-1 ML) to beat favorite 3 Turbulent Decent (6-5 ML), in a short priced exacta. I will go with 11 Her Smile (15-1 ML) and Velazquez/Pletcher for show.
6-3-11
Race 8 Juvenile Fillies Probably the most interesting race of the day with the winner most likely the early favorite for the Kentucky Oaks here in May. I am going to go with 5 Grace Hall (4-1 ML) over 4 Miss Netta (15-1 ML) with the English invader 1 Questing (20-1 ML) hitting the board on the dirt. All of these horses are seeing significant support on Betfair. Obviously there is local bias with Questing, but the breeding here suggests this Brit can do work on the dirt.
5-4-1
Race 9 Filly and Mare Turf Don’t see an American horse factoring in the race and having a hard time distinguishing my top 3. I am going to go with 6 Announce (9-2 ML) over 2 Stacelita (2-1 ML) over 10 Misty for Me (10-1 ML). I think 5 Nahrain also could factor and would think these 4 make up the superfecta.
6-2-10-5
Race 10 Ladies’ Classic I attended the Breeders’ Cup Welcome Party tonight and the most impressive things I heard were about 6 Royal Delta (5-2 ML). You know I like to fade the public, but this wasn’t public, these were respected horsemen and women who were awed by this horse. That is enough for me, I think the favorite 8 Plum Pretty (2-1 ML) comes in second while I like 1 Miss Match (10-1 ML) for show.
6-8-1
Overall I don’t for see too many big prices as there looks to be a couple of special short priced horses. I do think money can be made in exotics both vertical and horizontal. Good luck!!!
